The Trend of On-chain Equities is Emerging: A Quick Look at 5 Arbitrage Opportunities in the "Coin-Stock Convergence"

By: blockbeats|2025/03/11 09:15:04
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Original Author: Tiao.sol
Original Translation: Azuma, Odaily Planet Daily
Editor's Note: On March 6th, there were market rumors that Coinbase was considering relaunching its stock COIN and other security tokenization plans. In 2020, Coinbase made an initial attempt at this but had to abandon it due to regulatory obstacles. With the SEC establishing a new cryptocurrency working group, Coinbase seems to see an opportunity to restart this plan.

Just two days later, the RWA project Backed announced on March 8th that it had launched the Coinbase stock derivative token wbCOIN on the Base network, with the token's value pegged 1:1 to COIN stock. While Backed clarified that this move is unrelated to Coinbase, the swift action makes it hard not to draw connections.

Over the weekend, cryptocurrency analyst Tiao.sol published an article on X, analyzing several arbitrage opportunities that may exist between the two markets under the "coin-stock parallel" model. This analysis may provide some new trading insights amidst the current market uncertainty.

Below is the original content, translated by Odaily Planet Daily.

With Backed launching a tokenized version of Coinbase stock (wbCOIN) on the Base blockchain, SEC regulation seems to have opened the door wide. This may signify a transformative change in the financial market, hinting that other U.S. stocks could soon begin tokenization. For traders, this not only brings new market opportunities but also introduces unique trading strategies.

In the following text, I have listed several potential arbitrage opportunities and strategies, and welcome further discussion.

Opportunity One: Price Arbitrage

Scenario

The U.S. traditional stock market may experience sharp fluctuations due to news, macroeconomic data, or company events (such as earnings releases), while on-chain tokenized stocks (like wbCOIN) may not be able to immediately reflect these changes due to liquidity issues or delayed price data.

Strategy

Monitor the price difference between the traditional market (such as Coinbase stock COIN) and its tokenized asset (such as wbCOIN). If COIN experiences a significant drop (or rise) in the traditional market and wbCOIN lags in its response in the cryptocurrency market, traders can buy COIN at a lower (or higher) price in the traditional market and simultaneously sell wbCOIN at a higher (or lower) price in the cryptocurrency market.

Risk

Price data delays, high transaction fees, blockchain network congestion, and legal risks related to the discrepancy between token value and actual stock value (e.g., tokens failing to be effectively pegged to stocks).

Example

If COIN drops to $200 in the traditional market but, due to liquidity issues, wbCOIN still maintains $205, a trader can buy COIN in the traditional market and sell wbCOIN in the cryptocurrency market, locking in a $5 profit (after fees and slippage).

Opportunity 2: Liquidity Spread Arbitrage

Scenario

Tokenized stock liquidity in the cryptocurrency market is usually lower than in the traditional US stock market, especially during low trading volume periods, leading to wider bid-ask spreads.

Strategy

Buy stocks (such as COIN) close to market price in the traditional market and convert them into tokens (like wbCOIN) through a blockchain mechanism (such as Base or other DeFi platforms), then sell them at a premium in the cryptocurrency market. Alternatively, profit from bid-ask spreads by providing liquidity in low liquidity markets (acting as a market maker).

Risk

Lower liquidity may limit trading volume and make it difficult to exit quickly; on-chain gas fees may also eat into profits.

Example

If wbCOIN has a buy price of $205 and a sell price of $210 on the AerodromeFi or CoWSwap platform, a trader can earn a $5 spread by placing buy and sell orders to provide liquidity.

Opportunity 3: 24*7 Time Arbitrage (Time Zone Arbitrage)

Scenario

The traditional US stock market operates only on weekdays from 9:30 am to 4:00 pm Eastern Time, while tokenized stocks on the blockchain trade 24*7 round the clock. This provides an opportunity to leverage global market fluctuations during US market closure.

Strategy

After the US market closes, global markets (such as Asia or Europe) may impact Coinbase or other US stock prices due to news or events, while wbCOIN's price in the cryptocurrency market may not have fully adjusted yet. Traders can buy (or sell) wbCOIN at a lower (or higher) price in the cryptocurrency market and wait for the US market to reopen for price correction.

Risk

Significant price volatility can lead to losses; token prices may deviate from their true value due to low liquidity.

Example

Following a significant event in Asia after the U.S. markets closed on Friday that boosted Coinbase's outlook, wbCOIN did not see a corresponding price increase. Traders could buy wbCOIN at a lower price in the cryptocurrency market and sell after the U.S. market reopens on Monday.

Opportunity Four: Cross-Market Arbitrage

Scenario

Tokenized stocks often trade across multiple chains (such as Base, Ethereum, Polygon), on various traditional trading platforms (e.g., NYSE, Nasdaq), and several DeFi protocols (e.g., Uniswap), leading to price discrepancies across platforms.

Strategy

Monitor the prices of wbCOIN or other tokenized stocks across different platforms. If the price on Base is lower than on Ethereum or in the traditional market, traders can leverage cross-chain bridges or traditional market on/off ramps to buy on one platform at a lower price and sell on another platform at a higher price.

Risk

Risks include cross-chain transaction delays, high gas fees, and regulatory variances between platforms.

Example

If wbCOIN is priced at $200 on Base but $205 on Ethereum, a trader can buy on Base and sell on Ethereum to capture the price difference (after accounting for cross-chain fees).

Opportunity Five: Event-Driven Arbitrage

Scenario

Major events such as Coinbase's earnings report, regulatory news, or a hack can lead to asynchronous price movements between traditional stocks and their tokenized equivalents.

Strategy

Anticipate events that may impact Coinbase or other U.S. stocks (e.g., SEC policy changes, mergers, acquisitions) and predict price movements. Take advantage of price divergences between traditional stocks and tokenized stocks post-event.

Risk

Highly uncertain event outcomes; prices may further deviate from expectations.

Example

If Coinbase releases a positive financial report and COIN rises 10% in the traditional market, while wbCOIN, due to low liquidity, only rises 5%, traders can buy wbCOIN at a lower price in the cryptocurrency market and wait for the price to recover.

Key Elements

· Sufficient Liquidity: The current liquidity of tokenized stocks is still relatively low, which to some extent limits the scale of arbitrage.

· Fees and Slippage: On-chain gas fees, traditional market commissions, and transaction fees in token trading could all potentially erode profits.

Summary and Advice

With the launch of wbCOIN, it is expected that tokenized versions of other U.S. stocks (especially highly liquid and well-known stocks like Apple, Amazon, Tesla) will gradually migrate to the blockchain.

In conclusion, the price, liquidity, and timing differences between tokenized stocks and traditional stocks, as well as cross-market and event-driven volatility, provide traders with various potential arbitrage opportunities.

On the tooling side, I highly recommend using real-time market data tools (such as TradingView, CoinGecko) and blockchain analytics platforms (such as Dune Analytics) to track prices and liquidity. Additionally, set strict stop-loss and take-profit levels, monitor gas fees and slippage, and ensure that profits can cover costs.

Original Article Link

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China's Central Bank and Eight Other Departments' Latest Regulatory Focus: Key Attention to RWA Tokenized Asset Risk


Foreword: Today, the People's Bank of China's website published the "Notice of the People's Bank of China, National Development and Reform Commission, Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, Ministry of Public Security, State Administration for Market Regulation, China Banking and Insurance Regulatory Commission, China Securities Regulatory Commission, State Administration of Foreign Exchange on Further Preventing and Dealing with Risks Related to Virtual Currency and Others (Yinfa [2026] No. 42)", the latest regulatory requirements from the eight departments including the central bank, which are basically consistent with the regulatory requirements of recent years. The main focus of the regulation is on speculative activities such as virtual currency trading, exchanges, ICOs, overseas platform services, and this time, regulatory oversight of RWA has been added, explicitly prohibiting RWA tokenization, stablecoins (especially those pegged to the RMB). The following is the full text:


To the people's governments of all provinces, autonomous regions, and municipalities directly under the Central Government, the Xinjiang Production and Construction Corps:


  Recently, there have been speculative activities related to virtual currency and Real-World Assets (RWA) tokenization, disrupting the economic and financial order and jeopardizing the property security of the people. In order to further prevent and address the risks related to virtual currency and Real-World Assets tokenization, effectively safeguard national security and social stability, in accordance with the "Law of the People's Republic of China on the People's Bank of China," "Law of the People's Republic of China on Commercial Banks," "Securities Law of the People's Republic of China," "Law of the People's Republic of China on Securities Investment Funds," "Law of the People's Republic of China on Futures and Derivatives," "Cybersecurity Law of the People's Republic of China," "Regulations of the People's Republic of China on the Administration of Renminbi," "Regulations on Prevention and Disposal of Illegal Fundraising," "Regulations of the People's Republic of China on Foreign Exchange Administration," "Telecommunications Regulations of the People's Republic of China," and other provisions, after reaching consensus with the Cyberspace Administration of China, the Supreme People's Court, and the Supreme People's Procuratorate, and with the approval of the State Council, the relevant matters are notified as follows:


  I. Clarify the essential attributes of virtual currency, Real-World Assets tokenization, and related business activities


  (I) Virtual currency does not possess the legal status equivalent to fiat currency. Virtual currencies such as Bitcoin, Ether, Tether, etc., have the main characteristics of being issued by non-monetary authorities, using encryption technology and distributed ledger or similar technology, existing in digital form, etc. They do not have legal tender status, should not and cannot be circulated and used as currency in the market.


  The business activities related to virtual currency are classified as illegal financial activities. The exchange of fiat currency and virtual currency within the territory, exchange of virtual currencies, acting as a central counterparty in buying and selling virtual currencies, providing information intermediary and pricing services for virtual currency transactions, token issuance financing, and trading of virtual currency-related financial products, etc., fall under illegal financial activities, such as suspected illegal issuance of token vouchers, unauthorized public issuance of securities, illegal operation of securities and futures business, illegal fundraising, etc., are strictly prohibited across the board and resolutely banned in accordance with the law. Overseas entities and individuals are not allowed to provide virtual currency-related services to domestic entities in any form.


  A stablecoin pegged to a fiat currency indirectly fulfills some functions of the fiat currency in circulation. Without the consent of relevant authorities in accordance with the law and regulations, any domestic or foreign entity or individual is not allowed to issue a RMB-pegged stablecoin overseas.


(II)Tokenization of Real-World Assets refers to the use of encryption technology and distributed ledger or similar technologies to transform ownership rights, income rights, etc., of assets into tokens (tokens) or other interests or bond certificates with token (token) characteristics, and carry out issuance and trading activities.


  Engaging in the tokenization of real-world assets domestically, as well as providing related intermediary, information technology services, etc., which are suspected of illegal issuance of token vouchers, unauthorized public offering of securities, illegal operation of securities and futures business, illegal fundraising, and other illegal financial activities, shall be prohibited; except for relevant business activities carried out with the approval of the competent authorities in accordance with the law and regulations and relying on specific financial infrastructures. Overseas entities and individuals are not allowed to illegally provide services related to the tokenization of real-world assets to domestic entities in any form.


  II. Sound Work Mechanism


  (III) Inter-agency Coordination. The People's Bank of China, together with the National Development and Reform Commission, the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, the Ministry of Public Security, the State Administration for Market Regulation, the China Banking and Insurance Regulatory Commission, the China Securities Regulatory Commission, the State Administration of Foreign Exchange, and other departments, will improve the work mechanism, strengthen coordination with the Cyberspace Administration of China, the Supreme People's Court, and the Supreme People's Procuratorate, coordinate efforts, and overall guide regions to carry out risk prevention and disposal of virtual currency-related illegal financial activities.


  The China Securities Regulatory Commission, together with the National Development and Reform Commission, the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, the Ministry of Public Security, the People's Bank of China, the State Administration for Market Regulation, the China Banking and Insurance Regulatory Commission, the State Administration of Foreign Exchange, and other departments, will improve the work mechanism, strengthen coordination with the Cyberspace Administration of China, the Supreme People's Court, and the Supreme People's Procuratorate, coordinate efforts, and overall guide regions to carry out risk prevention and disposal of illegal financial activities related to the tokenization of real-world assets.


  (IV) Strengthening Local Implementation. The people's governments at the provincial level are overall responsible for the prevention and disposal of risks related to virtual currencies and the tokenization of real-world assets in their respective administrative regions. The specific leading department is the local financial regulatory department, with participation from branches and dispatched institutions of the State Council's financial regulatory department, telecommunications regulators, public security, market supervision, and other departments, in coordination with cyberspace departments, courts, and procuratorates, to improve the normalization of the work mechanism, effectively connect with the relevant work mechanisms of central departments, form a cooperative and coordinated working pattern between central and local governments, effectively prevent and properly handle risks related to virtual currencies and the tokenization of real-world assets, and maintain economic and financial order and social stability.


  III. Strengthened Risk Monitoring, Prevention, and Disposal


  (5) Enhanced Risk Monitoring. The People's Bank of China, China Securities Regulatory Commission, National Development and Reform Commission, Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, Ministry of Public Security, State Administration of Foreign Exchange, Cyberspace Administration of China, and other departments continue to improve monitoring techniques and system support, enhance cross-departmental data analysis and sharing, establish sound information sharing and cross-validation mechanisms, promptly grasp the risk situation of activities related to virtual currency and real-world asset tokenization. Local governments at all levels give full play to the role of local monitoring and early warning mechanisms. Local financial regulatory authorities, together with branches and agencies of the State Council's financial regulatory authorities, as well as departments of cyberspace and public security, ensure effective connection between online monitoring, offline investigation, and fund tracking, efficiently and accurately identify activities related to virtual currency and real-world asset tokenization, promptly share risk information, improve early warning information dissemination, verification, and rapid response mechanisms.


  (6) Strengthened Oversight of Financial Institutions, Intermediaries, and Technology Service Providers. Financial institutions (including non-bank payment institutions) are prohibited from providing account opening, fund transfer, and clearing services for virtual currency-related business activities, issuing and selling financial products related to virtual currency, including virtual currency and related financial products in the scope of collateral, conducting insurance business related to virtual currency, or including virtual currency in the scope of insurance liability. Financial institutions (including non-bank payment institutions) are prohibited from providing custody, clearing, and settlement services for unauthorized real-world asset tokenization-related business and related financial products. Relevant intermediary institutions and information technology service providers are prohibited from providing intermediary, technical, or other services for unauthorized real-world asset tokenization-related businesses and related financial products.


  (7) Enhanced Management of Internet Information Content and Access. Internet enterprises are prohibited from providing online business venues, commercial displays, marketing, advertising, or paid traffic diversion services for virtual currency and real-world asset tokenization-related business activities. Upon discovering clues of illegal activities, they should promptly report to relevant departments and provide technical support and assistance for related investigations and inquiries. Based on the clues transferred by the financial regulatory authorities, the cyberspace administration, telecommunications authorities, and public security departments should promptly close and deal with websites, mobile applications (including mini-programs), and public accounts engaged in virtual currency and real-world asset tokenization-related business activities in accordance with the law.


  (8) Strengthened Entity Registration and Advertisement Management. Market supervision departments strengthen entity registration and management, and enterprise and individual business registrations must not contain terms such as "virtual currency," "virtual asset," "cryptocurrency," "crypto asset," "stablecoin," "real-world asset tokenization," or "RWA" in their names or business scopes. Market supervision departments, together with financial regulatory authorities, legally enhance the supervision of advertisements related to virtual currency and real-world asset tokenization, promptly investigating and handling relevant illegal advertisements.


  (IX) Continued Rectification of Virtual Currency Mining Activities. The National Development and Reform Commission, together with relevant departments, strictly controls virtual currency mining activities, continuously promotes the rectification of virtual currency mining activities. The people's governments of various provinces take overall responsibility for the rectification of "mining" within their respective administrative regions. In accordance with the requirements of the National Development and Reform Commission and other departments in the "Notice on the Rectification of Virtual Currency Mining Activities" (NDRC Energy-saving Building [2021] No. 1283) and the provisions of the "Guidance Catalog for Industrial Structure Adjustment (2024 Edition)," a comprehensive review, investigation, and closure of existing virtual currency mining projects are conducted, new mining projects are strictly prohibited, and mining machine production enterprises are strictly prohibited from providing mining machine sales and other services within the country.


  (X) Severe Crackdown on Related Illegal Financial Activities. Upon discovering clues to illegal financial activities related to virtual currency and the tokenization of real-world assets, local financial regulatory authorities, branches of the State Council's financial regulatory authorities, and other relevant departments promptly investigate, determine, and properly handle the issues in accordance with the law, and seriously hold the relevant entities and individuals legally responsible. Those suspected of crimes are transferred to the judicial authorities for processing according to the law.


 (XI) Severe Crackdown on Related Illegal and Criminal Activities. The Ministry of Public Security, the People's Bank of China, the State Administration for Market Regulation, the China Banking and Insurance Regulatory Commission, the China Securities Regulatory Commission, as well as judicial and procuratorial organs, in accordance with their respective responsibilities, rigorously crack down on illegal and criminal activities related to virtual currency, the tokenization of real-world assets, such as fraud, money laundering, illegal business operations, pyramid schemes, illegal fundraising, and other illegal and criminal activities carried out under the guise of virtual currency, the tokenization of real-world assets, etc.


  (XII) Strengthen Industry Self-discipline. Relevant industry associations should enhance membership management and policy advocacy, based on their own responsibilities, advocate and urge member units to resist illegal financial activities related to virtual currency and the tokenization of real-world assets. Member units that violate regulatory policies and industry self-discipline rules are to be disciplined in accordance with relevant self-regulatory management regulations. By leveraging various industry infrastructure, conduct risk monitoring related to virtual currency, the tokenization of real-world assets, and promptly transfer issue clues to relevant departments.


  IV. Strict Supervision of Domestic Entities Engaging in Overseas Business Activities


(XIII) Without the approval of relevant departments in accordance with the law and regulations, domestic entities and foreign entities controlled by them may not issue virtual currency overseas.


  (XIV) Domestic entities engaging directly or indirectly in overseas external debt-based tokenization of real-world assets, or conducting asset securitization activities abroad based on domestic ownership rights, income rights, etc. (hereinafter referred to as domestic equity), should be strictly regulated in accordance with the principles of "same business, same risk, same rules." The National Development and Reform Commission, the China Securities Regulatory Commission, the State Administration of Foreign Exchange, and other relevant departments regulate it according to their respective responsibilities. For other forms of overseas real-world asset tokenization activities based on domestic equity by domestic entities, the China Securities Regulatory Commission, together with relevant departments, supervise according to their division of responsibilities. Without the consent and filing of relevant departments, no unit or individual may engage in the above-mentioned business.


  (15) Overseas subsidiaries and branches of domestic financial institutions providing Real World Asset Tokenization-related services overseas shall do so legally and prudently. They shall have professional personnel and systems in place to effectively mitigate business risks, strictly implement customer onboarding, suitability management, anti-money laundering requirements, and incorporate them into the domestic financial institutions' compliance and risk management system. Intermediaries and information technology service providers offering Real World Asset Tokenization services abroad based on domestic equity or conducting Real World Asset Tokenization business in the form of overseas debt for domestic entities directly or indirectly venturing abroad must strictly comply with relevant laws and regulations. They should establish and improve relevant compliance and internal control systems in accordance with relevant normative requirements, strengthen business and risk control, and report the business developments to the relevant regulatory authorities for approval or filing.


  V. Strengthen Organizational Implementation


  (16) Strengthen organizational leadership and overall coordination. All departments and regions should attach great importance to the prevention of risks related to virtual currencies and Real World Asset Tokenization, strengthen organizational leadership, clarify work responsibilities, form a long-term effective working mechanism with centralized coordination, local implementation, and shared responsibilities, maintain high pressure, dynamically monitor risks, effectively prevent and mitigate risks in an orderly and efficient manner, legally protect the property security of the people, and make every effort to maintain economic and financial order and social stability.


  (17) Widely carry out publicity and education. All departments, regions, and industry associations should make full use of various media and other communication channels to disseminate information through legal and policy interpretation, analysis of typical cases, and education on investment risks, etc. They should promote the illegality and harm of virtual currencies and Real World Asset Tokenization-related businesses and their manifestations, fully alert to potential risks and hidden dangers, and enhance public awareness and identification capabilities for risk prevention.


  VI. Legal Responsibility


  (18) Engaging in illegal financial activities related to virtual currencies and Real World Asset Tokenization in violation of this notice, as well as providing services for virtual currencies and Real World Asset Tokenization-related businesses, shall be punished in accordance with relevant regulations. If it constitutes a crime, criminal liability shall be pursued according to the law. For domestic entities and individuals who knowingly or should have known that overseas entities illegally provided virtual currency or Real World Asset Tokenization-related services to domestic entities and still assisted them, relevant responsibilities shall be pursued according to the law. If it constitutes a crime, criminal liability shall be pursued according to the law.


  (19) If any unit or individual invests in virtual currencies, Real World Asset Tokens, and related financial products against public order and good customs, the relevant civil legal actions shall be invalid, and any resulting losses shall be borne by them. If there are suspicions of disrupting financial order and jeopardizing financial security, the relevant departments shall deal with them according to the law.


  This notice shall enter into force upon the date of its issuance. The People's Bank of China and ten other departments' "Notice on Further Preventing and Dealing with the Risks of Virtual Currency Trading Speculation" (Yinfa [2021] No. 237) is hereby repealed.


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