Transaction Espionage: Decrypting the Battle Behind the $300M Order on Hyperliquid

By: blockbeats|2025/03/13 15:15:03
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原文标题:《从利弗莫尔到加密巨鲸:跨越百年的交易暗战,解密 Hyperliquid 上 3 亿美元订单背后的攻防博弈》
原文作者:Frank,PANews

「在我作为股票作手生涯的所有日子里,我对这一天的记忆最鲜活。正是这一天,我的赢利首度超过 100 万美元。它标志着我头一次按照预先计划的交易战略成功地收官。当初我预见到的一切已经成为过去的事实。然而,超越所有这一切的是:我的狂热梦想已经成为现实。

在这一天里,我是市场之王!」

——《股票大作手回忆录》

Transaction Espionage: Decrypting the Battle Behind the 00M Order on Hyperliquid

一百多年前,股票届传奇操盘手利弗莫尔用这样一段话形容自己的成功。一百年后,在加密市场,相同的场景似乎再次上演。巧合的是,这一次的市场之王,同样是大规模操盘并成功,且在市场流动性不足的情况下主动爆仓,上演了一把极限操作,引发了市场的顶礼膜拜。不同的是,这次市场之王的盈利由交易平台买单。

世纪轮回:华尔街幽灵的链上重生

这位曾在特朗普宣布将 BTC、ETH、SOL、ADA、XRP 等五种加密资产加入加密资产战略储备前夕投入 600 万美元以 50 倍杠杆做多 ETH 和 BTC 怒赚 680 万美元的巨鲸。在近一个月内在市场上反复操作盈利颇丰,并再次打出足以载入 Hyperliquid 史册的经典之战。

3 月 12 日,该巨鲸再次以 50 倍开多 16 万枚 ETH,提取 800 万美元资金后主动爆仓,最终获利约 180 万美元,而 Hyperliquid 交易平台则因此损失 400 万美元。

这种情况似乎从逻辑上较为离奇,但本质上是利用了 Hyperliquid 链上交易的」漏洞「实现获利。

我们来回顾一下这位巨鲸的操作过程:

3 月 12 日 6 点 54 分,该地址通过跨链桥向 Hyperliquid 存入 348 万美元,开仓 1.7 万枚 ETH(价值 3120 万美元)。

随后该地址通过补充保证金和继续扩大仓位的方式将仓位增加到 21790 枚 ETH(价值 4085 万美元)

后续该地址持续加仓,将 ETH 的总仓位提升至 17 万枚(持仓价值 3.43 亿美元)。账面浮盈 859 万美元。

在这个过程中,该地址一共动用保证金 1521 万美元。

最终通过平仓和撤出保证金的方式收回 1708 万美元,获利 187 万美元。

最后的一次操作当中,该用户提取了 800 万美元资金,保留了约 613 万美元作为保证金,等待强制平仓。

猎杀时刻:17 万 ETH 仓位背后的精密算计

为什么巨鲸这么操作,而不是等待盈利平仓?

在这个过程中,该巨鲸有两种选择方案,一是直接平仓,账面浮盈 859 万美元。这样操作的利益是最大化的。但链上的对手或许无法一次性吃下这么大的订单,只能等待价格持续下跌,减少利润才能成交。而这 3.43 亿美元的订单一旦主动平仓,或许会极大影响行情走势,造成利润的大幅缩水。

因此,该巨鲸选择了第二种方案,将保证金和部分利润撤出(即平掉一部分仓位,然后撤出剩下多余的保证金),让保证金保持在 50 倍杠杆的最低标准。这样一来,行情如果继续上涨,他将能获得更大利润,可以选择继续分批平仓。如果行情出现极速下跌,他将在 2% 的跌幅中爆仓。但因为他已经提取出去 1708 万美元的资金,总体盈利已经实现了 187 万美元。因此,即便爆仓也不会导致实际亏损。

这一看似疯狂的赌徒操作,但最后却选择了保守的盈利策略。

事后,根据 Hyperliquid 发布的数据显示,当天 Hyperliquid 亏损 400 万美元(这其中也有跟单的部分盈利)。而该巨鲸则实现了超过 180 万美元的利润。

实际上,从盈亏比来计算,前后该巨鲸投入的成本约为 1521 万美元,实现盈利 187 万美元,盈利空间约为 12.2%。以百分比和金额计算,都不如该地址在特朗普宣布 ADA、SOL 入选战略储备的多。

余震与启示:推动链上交易平台进化

从市场的角度来说,这一操作最终让交易平台进行买单是一种极其罕见的事情。不过,这种情况似乎只在 Hyperliquid 上能够实现。

根据 KOL 憨巴龙王的推文,2018 年 OK 交易平台曾发生类似事件。使用了同样的手法,盈利后撤出保证金使得市场达到爆仓价没有对手盘能够消化造成交易平台买单的事件。

在 OK 事件后,各个中心化交易平台增加了阶梯保证金制度,让用户的保证金始终维持在市场合理范围内。而本次的事件似乎是给新兴的链上交易平台 Hyperliquid 上了一课。由于全程采用 DEX 的交易方式,对保证金的要求也没有进行风险控制。

最终导致该巨鲸在爆仓时,市场缺乏足够的流动性承接强平订单,只得是由 Hyperliquid 自掏腰包做了对手盘。HLP 的数据显示,400 万美元的亏损几乎等同于了 Hyperliquid 整月的利润。截至 3 月 10 日,Hyperliquid 的 HLP 收益累计达到 6350 万美元,因此即便是这一笔订单亏损,仍剩余接近 6000 万美元的利润。

不过,鉴于这一事件在社交媒体上引发了热烈讨论,后续可能存在用户效仿该巨鲸进行操作。Hyperliquid 也在第一时间表示,为了避免类似的问题出现,将 BTC 的杠杆倍数调至 40 倍,ETH 调至 25 倍。

关于市场上猜测这种手法是否将对 Hyperliquid 造成根本性的动摇,我们可以通过计算了解这种可能性:目前 Hyperliquid 的 HLP 池仍持有接近 6000 万美元的资金,以 BTC 最高杠杆 40 倍计算,最大可承受 24 亿美元的穿仓风险。从这个角度来看,似乎很少有用户能有这样的实力与之匹配。而面对一般的市场订单,则只需要市场的对手盘就可以抹平。

回顾整个事件,我们能够看出这位巨鲸或许在完成这次操作前就已进行多次测试。三箭资本联合创始人 Zhu Su 猜测,该地址之所以能够冒这么大的风险,是因为他同一时间段在 Binance 交易平台做空。相当于多空套保的订单状态,而正是发现了 Hyperliquid 在穿仓时的机制与中心化交易平台不同,才选择从此入手。

实际上,这种操作手法并不是什么神奇的创新,正如开头所言,早在一百年前利弗莫尔就曾无意间达成了类似的效果。只不过当时利弗莫尔为了市场的生存选择主动做多,主动平仓。而如今的市场,则有交易平台对这种现象进行兜底,才实现了用户反割交易平台的现象出现。只是这种操作手法的空间恐怕从今以后也再一次关上了大门,往后很难存在类似的平台能玩出类似的效果。

对交易平台来说,这是又一次花钱买教训的案例。对散户来说,这样的操作只是昙花一现,是一次发现漏洞获得盈利的个别现象,并不具备复刻的操作意义。只是无聊的走势中,人们津津乐道的谈资而已。

原文链接

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China's Central Bank and Eight Other Departments' Latest Regulatory Focus: Key Attention to RWA Tokenized Asset Risk


Foreword: Today, the People's Bank of China's website published the "Notice of the People's Bank of China, National Development and Reform Commission, Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, Ministry of Public Security, State Administration for Market Regulation, China Banking and Insurance Regulatory Commission, China Securities Regulatory Commission, State Administration of Foreign Exchange on Further Preventing and Dealing with Risks Related to Virtual Currency and Others (Yinfa [2026] No. 42)", the latest regulatory requirements from the eight departments including the central bank, which are basically consistent with the regulatory requirements of recent years. The main focus of the regulation is on speculative activities such as virtual currency trading, exchanges, ICOs, overseas platform services, and this time, regulatory oversight of RWA has been added, explicitly prohibiting RWA tokenization, stablecoins (especially those pegged to the RMB). The following is the full text:


To the people's governments of all provinces, autonomous regions, and municipalities directly under the Central Government, the Xinjiang Production and Construction Corps:


  Recently, there have been speculative activities related to virtual currency and Real-World Assets (RWA) tokenization, disrupting the economic and financial order and jeopardizing the property security of the people. In order to further prevent and address the risks related to virtual currency and Real-World Assets tokenization, effectively safeguard national security and social stability, in accordance with the "Law of the People's Republic of China on the People's Bank of China," "Law of the People's Republic of China on Commercial Banks," "Securities Law of the People's Republic of China," "Law of the People's Republic of China on Securities Investment Funds," "Law of the People's Republic of China on Futures and Derivatives," "Cybersecurity Law of the People's Republic of China," "Regulations of the People's Republic of China on the Administration of Renminbi," "Regulations on Prevention and Disposal of Illegal Fundraising," "Regulations of the People's Republic of China on Foreign Exchange Administration," "Telecommunications Regulations of the People's Republic of China," and other provisions, after reaching consensus with the Cyberspace Administration of China, the Supreme People's Court, and the Supreme People's Procuratorate, and with the approval of the State Council, the relevant matters are notified as follows:


  I. Clarify the essential attributes of virtual currency, Real-World Assets tokenization, and related business activities


  (I) Virtual currency does not possess the legal status equivalent to fiat currency. Virtual currencies such as Bitcoin, Ether, Tether, etc., have the main characteristics of being issued by non-monetary authorities, using encryption technology and distributed ledger or similar technology, existing in digital form, etc. They do not have legal tender status, should not and cannot be circulated and used as currency in the market.


  The business activities related to virtual currency are classified as illegal financial activities. The exchange of fiat currency and virtual currency within the territory, exchange of virtual currencies, acting as a central counterparty in buying and selling virtual currencies, providing information intermediary and pricing services for virtual currency transactions, token issuance financing, and trading of virtual currency-related financial products, etc., fall under illegal financial activities, such as suspected illegal issuance of token vouchers, unauthorized public issuance of securities, illegal operation of securities and futures business, illegal fundraising, etc., are strictly prohibited across the board and resolutely banned in accordance with the law. Overseas entities and individuals are not allowed to provide virtual currency-related services to domestic entities in any form.


  A stablecoin pegged to a fiat currency indirectly fulfills some functions of the fiat currency in circulation. Without the consent of relevant authorities in accordance with the law and regulations, any domestic or foreign entity or individual is not allowed to issue a RMB-pegged stablecoin overseas.


(II)Tokenization of Real-World Assets refers to the use of encryption technology and distributed ledger or similar technologies to transform ownership rights, income rights, etc., of assets into tokens (tokens) or other interests or bond certificates with token (token) characteristics, and carry out issuance and trading activities.


  Engaging in the tokenization of real-world assets domestically, as well as providing related intermediary, information technology services, etc., which are suspected of illegal issuance of token vouchers, unauthorized public offering of securities, illegal operation of securities and futures business, illegal fundraising, and other illegal financial activities, shall be prohibited; except for relevant business activities carried out with the approval of the competent authorities in accordance with the law and regulations and relying on specific financial infrastructures. Overseas entities and individuals are not allowed to illegally provide services related to the tokenization of real-world assets to domestic entities in any form.


  II. Sound Work Mechanism


  (III) Inter-agency Coordination. The People's Bank of China, together with the National Development and Reform Commission, the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, the Ministry of Public Security, the State Administration for Market Regulation, the China Banking and Insurance Regulatory Commission, the China Securities Regulatory Commission, the State Administration of Foreign Exchange, and other departments, will improve the work mechanism, strengthen coordination with the Cyberspace Administration of China, the Supreme People's Court, and the Supreme People's Procuratorate, coordinate efforts, and overall guide regions to carry out risk prevention and disposal of virtual currency-related illegal financial activities.


  The China Securities Regulatory Commission, together with the National Development and Reform Commission, the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, the Ministry of Public Security, the People's Bank of China, the State Administration for Market Regulation, the China Banking and Insurance Regulatory Commission, the State Administration of Foreign Exchange, and other departments, will improve the work mechanism, strengthen coordination with the Cyberspace Administration of China, the Supreme People's Court, and the Supreme People's Procuratorate, coordinate efforts, and overall guide regions to carry out risk prevention and disposal of illegal financial activities related to the tokenization of real-world assets.


  (IV) Strengthening Local Implementation. The people's governments at the provincial level are overall responsible for the prevention and disposal of risks related to virtual currencies and the tokenization of real-world assets in their respective administrative regions. The specific leading department is the local financial regulatory department, with participation from branches and dispatched institutions of the State Council's financial regulatory department, telecommunications regulators, public security, market supervision, and other departments, in coordination with cyberspace departments, courts, and procuratorates, to improve the normalization of the work mechanism, effectively connect with the relevant work mechanisms of central departments, form a cooperative and coordinated working pattern between central and local governments, effectively prevent and properly handle risks related to virtual currencies and the tokenization of real-world assets, and maintain economic and financial order and social stability.


  III. Strengthened Risk Monitoring, Prevention, and Disposal


  (5) Enhanced Risk Monitoring. The People's Bank of China, China Securities Regulatory Commission, National Development and Reform Commission, Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, Ministry of Public Security, State Administration of Foreign Exchange, Cyberspace Administration of China, and other departments continue to improve monitoring techniques and system support, enhance cross-departmental data analysis and sharing, establish sound information sharing and cross-validation mechanisms, promptly grasp the risk situation of activities related to virtual currency and real-world asset tokenization. Local governments at all levels give full play to the role of local monitoring and early warning mechanisms. Local financial regulatory authorities, together with branches and agencies of the State Council's financial regulatory authorities, as well as departments of cyberspace and public security, ensure effective connection between online monitoring, offline investigation, and fund tracking, efficiently and accurately identify activities related to virtual currency and real-world asset tokenization, promptly share risk information, improve early warning information dissemination, verification, and rapid response mechanisms.


  (6) Strengthened Oversight of Financial Institutions, Intermediaries, and Technology Service Providers. Financial institutions (including non-bank payment institutions) are prohibited from providing account opening, fund transfer, and clearing services for virtual currency-related business activities, issuing and selling financial products related to virtual currency, including virtual currency and related financial products in the scope of collateral, conducting insurance business related to virtual currency, or including virtual currency in the scope of insurance liability. Financial institutions (including non-bank payment institutions) are prohibited from providing custody, clearing, and settlement services for unauthorized real-world asset tokenization-related business and related financial products. Relevant intermediary institutions and information technology service providers are prohibited from providing intermediary, technical, or other services for unauthorized real-world asset tokenization-related businesses and related financial products.


  (7) Enhanced Management of Internet Information Content and Access. Internet enterprises are prohibited from providing online business venues, commercial displays, marketing, advertising, or paid traffic diversion services for virtual currency and real-world asset tokenization-related business activities. Upon discovering clues of illegal activities, they should promptly report to relevant departments and provide technical support and assistance for related investigations and inquiries. Based on the clues transferred by the financial regulatory authorities, the cyberspace administration, telecommunications authorities, and public security departments should promptly close and deal with websites, mobile applications (including mini-programs), and public accounts engaged in virtual currency and real-world asset tokenization-related business activities in accordance with the law.


  (8) Strengthened Entity Registration and Advertisement Management. Market supervision departments strengthen entity registration and management, and enterprise and individual business registrations must not contain terms such as "virtual currency," "virtual asset," "cryptocurrency," "crypto asset," "stablecoin," "real-world asset tokenization," or "RWA" in their names or business scopes. Market supervision departments, together with financial regulatory authorities, legally enhance the supervision of advertisements related to virtual currency and real-world asset tokenization, promptly investigating and handling relevant illegal advertisements.


  (IX) Continued Rectification of Virtual Currency Mining Activities. The National Development and Reform Commission, together with relevant departments, strictly controls virtual currency mining activities, continuously promotes the rectification of virtual currency mining activities. The people's governments of various provinces take overall responsibility for the rectification of "mining" within their respective administrative regions. In accordance with the requirements of the National Development and Reform Commission and other departments in the "Notice on the Rectification of Virtual Currency Mining Activities" (NDRC Energy-saving Building [2021] No. 1283) and the provisions of the "Guidance Catalog for Industrial Structure Adjustment (2024 Edition)," a comprehensive review, investigation, and closure of existing virtual currency mining projects are conducted, new mining projects are strictly prohibited, and mining machine production enterprises are strictly prohibited from providing mining machine sales and other services within the country.


  (X) Severe Crackdown on Related Illegal Financial Activities. Upon discovering clues to illegal financial activities related to virtual currency and the tokenization of real-world assets, local financial regulatory authorities, branches of the State Council's financial regulatory authorities, and other relevant departments promptly investigate, determine, and properly handle the issues in accordance with the law, and seriously hold the relevant entities and individuals legally responsible. Those suspected of crimes are transferred to the judicial authorities for processing according to the law.


 (XI) Severe Crackdown on Related Illegal and Criminal Activities. The Ministry of Public Security, the People's Bank of China, the State Administration for Market Regulation, the China Banking and Insurance Regulatory Commission, the China Securities Regulatory Commission, as well as judicial and procuratorial organs, in accordance with their respective responsibilities, rigorously crack down on illegal and criminal activities related to virtual currency, the tokenization of real-world assets, such as fraud, money laundering, illegal business operations, pyramid schemes, illegal fundraising, and other illegal and criminal activities carried out under the guise of virtual currency, the tokenization of real-world assets, etc.


  (XII) Strengthen Industry Self-discipline. Relevant industry associations should enhance membership management and policy advocacy, based on their own responsibilities, advocate and urge member units to resist illegal financial activities related to virtual currency and the tokenization of real-world assets. Member units that violate regulatory policies and industry self-discipline rules are to be disciplined in accordance with relevant self-regulatory management regulations. By leveraging various industry infrastructure, conduct risk monitoring related to virtual currency, the tokenization of real-world assets, and promptly transfer issue clues to relevant departments.


  IV. Strict Supervision of Domestic Entities Engaging in Overseas Business Activities


(XIII) Without the approval of relevant departments in accordance with the law and regulations, domestic entities and foreign entities controlled by them may not issue virtual currency overseas.


  (XIV) Domestic entities engaging directly or indirectly in overseas external debt-based tokenization of real-world assets, or conducting asset securitization activities abroad based on domestic ownership rights, income rights, etc. (hereinafter referred to as domestic equity), should be strictly regulated in accordance with the principles of "same business, same risk, same rules." The National Development and Reform Commission, the China Securities Regulatory Commission, the State Administration of Foreign Exchange, and other relevant departments regulate it according to their respective responsibilities. For other forms of overseas real-world asset tokenization activities based on domestic equity by domestic entities, the China Securities Regulatory Commission, together with relevant departments, supervise according to their division of responsibilities. Without the consent and filing of relevant departments, no unit or individual may engage in the above-mentioned business.


  (15) Overseas subsidiaries and branches of domestic financial institutions providing Real World Asset Tokenization-related services overseas shall do so legally and prudently. They shall have professional personnel and systems in place to effectively mitigate business risks, strictly implement customer onboarding, suitability management, anti-money laundering requirements, and incorporate them into the domestic financial institutions' compliance and risk management system. Intermediaries and information technology service providers offering Real World Asset Tokenization services abroad based on domestic equity or conducting Real World Asset Tokenization business in the form of overseas debt for domestic entities directly or indirectly venturing abroad must strictly comply with relevant laws and regulations. They should establish and improve relevant compliance and internal control systems in accordance with relevant normative requirements, strengthen business and risk control, and report the business developments to the relevant regulatory authorities for approval or filing.


  V. Strengthen Organizational Implementation


  (16) Strengthen organizational leadership and overall coordination. All departments and regions should attach great importance to the prevention of risks related to virtual currencies and Real World Asset Tokenization, strengthen organizational leadership, clarify work responsibilities, form a long-term effective working mechanism with centralized coordination, local implementation, and shared responsibilities, maintain high pressure, dynamically monitor risks, effectively prevent and mitigate risks in an orderly and efficient manner, legally protect the property security of the people, and make every effort to maintain economic and financial order and social stability.


  (17) Widely carry out publicity and education. All departments, regions, and industry associations should make full use of various media and other communication channels to disseminate information through legal and policy interpretation, analysis of typical cases, and education on investment risks, etc. They should promote the illegality and harm of virtual currencies and Real World Asset Tokenization-related businesses and their manifestations, fully alert to potential risks and hidden dangers, and enhance public awareness and identification capabilities for risk prevention.


  VI. Legal Responsibility


  (18) Engaging in illegal financial activities related to virtual currencies and Real World Asset Tokenization in violation of this notice, as well as providing services for virtual currencies and Real World Asset Tokenization-related businesses, shall be punished in accordance with relevant regulations. If it constitutes a crime, criminal liability shall be pursued according to the law. For domestic entities and individuals who knowingly or should have known that overseas entities illegally provided virtual currency or Real World Asset Tokenization-related services to domestic entities and still assisted them, relevant responsibilities shall be pursued according to the law. If it constitutes a crime, criminal liability shall be pursued according to the law.


  (19) If any unit or individual invests in virtual currencies, Real World Asset Tokens, and related financial products against public order and good customs, the relevant civil legal actions shall be invalid, and any resulting losses shall be borne by them. If there are suspicions of disrupting financial order and jeopardizing financial security, the relevant departments shall deal with them according to the law.


  This notice shall enter into force upon the date of its issuance. The People's Bank of China and ten other departments' "Notice on Further Preventing and Dealing with the Risks of Virtual Currency Trading Speculation" (Yinfa [2021] No. 237) is hereby repealed.


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