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Two suspected insider addresses bet on 「OpenAI to release a new model on the 13th」, with the majority of their historical profits coming from OpenAI-related predictions
BlockBeats News, December 5th, according to PolyBeats, the entry "Will OpenAI release a new cutting-edge model before December 13th?" was created 5 hours ago. As of the time of writing, its probability has surged from 45% to 91%.
The establishment of this betting market is based on widespread rumors about the OpenAI internal "Code Red" memo on December 2nd. It is reported that CEO Sam Altman, in response to the challenge from Google Gemini 3, internally asked the team to "delay the ad, release the inference model next week" (from December 8th to 12th). Internal assessments indicate that the performance of this new inference model will be "ahead of Gemini 3." Although OpenAI officials have remained silent on this, the competitive pressure and rumors of internal ad delays have led the market to speculate widely that a new cutting-edge model (such as the GPT-5 series or an inference model) is about to be launched, targeting the December 13th deadline.
This message focuses on two traders who currently rank first and second in the Yes shareholding list:
Trader 0xLuck currently holds 2496 "Yes" shares at an average price of 88c. This account has only one losing trade out of 25, with a historical profit of nearly $45,000, of which over half is from OpenAI-related positions;
Trader lamps currently holds 1973 "Yes" shares at an average price of 35c, with 84% of his historical profit of $73,000 coming from OpenAI-related positions.
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